Expected Value Calculator
Risk / Reward Calculator
Adjust the sliders to evaluate any risk/reward scenario
Inputs
Probability of success
20%
Value if successful
$14,000
Cost to pursue
$4,000
Results
Expected value
–$1,200
Net if you win
$10,000
Net if you lose
–$4,000
Break-even probability
Black bar = your probability | Red line = break-even (28.6%)